Ontinyent: ENS UNEIX would keep its majority
Ontinyent (Valencia/València, 35,946 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 98%ENS UNEIX majority
- 18,946valid votes in 2023 (70% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
ENS UNEIX+1
13
councillors (2023: 12) · 56.5% of the vote (2023: 53.4%)
Majority 98%
ACORD PER GUANYAR−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 15.0% of the vote (2023: 18.3%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 14.0% of the vote (2023: 14.7%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 10.7% of the vote (2023: 5.4%)
Majority 0%
PSOE−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 2.7% of the vote (2023: 5.2%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 2% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ENS UNEIXLocal lists 53.4% → 56.5% 12 → 13 councillors
- ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 18.3% → 15.0% 4 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 14.7% → 14.0% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 5.4% → 10.7% 1 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 5.2% → 2.7% 1 → 0 councillors
- EUPV - PODEM: UNIDASSumar, Podemos and allies 2.1% → 0.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 18,946 valid votes including 184 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.