Ontinyent: ENS UNEIX would keep its majority
Ontinyent (Valencia/València, 35,946 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 98%ENS UNEIX majority
- 18,946valid votes in 2023 (70% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 2% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Ontinyent
Ontinyent is a municipality in the province of Valencia/València with 35,946 inhabitants, the 9th largest of its 266 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 ENS UNEIX came first with 53.4% of the vote and 12 seats, an absolute majority; ACORD PER GUANYAR was second with 4. 70.1% of the 27,013 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps ENS UNEIX on 13 seats, a majority, which it holds in 98% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ENS UNEIXLocal lists 53.4% → 56.5% 12 → 13 councillors
- ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 18.3% → 15.0% 4 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 14.7% → 14.0% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 5.4% → 10.7% 1 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 5.2% → 2.7% 1 → 0 councillors
- EUPV - PODEM: UNIDASSumar, Podemos and allies 2.1% → 0.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 18,946 valid votes including 184 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.