Manises: no list would have a majority, PP largest
Manises (Valencia/València, 31,170 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- over 99%no list with a majority
- 15,825valid votes in 2023 (67% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 25.6% of the vote (2023: 25.5%)
Majority 0%
VOX+2
6
councillors (2023: 4) · 23.9% of the vote (2023: 14.9%)
Majority 0%
PSOE−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 19.6% of the vote (2023: 22.0%)
Majority 0%
ACORD PER GUANYAR−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 17.7% of the vote (2023: 20.9%)
Majority 0%
CS+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 5.1% of the vote (2023: 4.7%)
Majority 0%
PODEMOS - AV (PODEM)−1
0
councillors (2023: 1) · 3.6% of the vote (2023: 5.8%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 25.5% → 25.6% 6 → 6 councillors
- VOXVox 14.9% → 23.9% 4 → 6 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 22.0% → 19.6% 5 → 4 councillors
- ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 20.9% → 17.7% 5 → 4 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 4.7% → 5.1% 0 → 1 councillors
- PODEMOS - AV (PODEM)Sumar, Podemos and allies 5.8% → 3.6% 1 → 0 councillors
- CCD-POBLE DECIDIX MANISESLocal lists 1.3% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- EUPV: ENDAVANTSumar, Podemos and allies 3.0% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- CONTIGOLocal lists 0.7% → 0.8% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 15,825 valid votes including 205 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.