Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Catarroja: no list would have a majority, VOX largest

Catarroja (Valencia/València, 28,679 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

VOX+2
6 councillors (2023: 4) · 27.0% of the vote (2023: 17.7%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 24.2% of the vote (2023: 27.2%) Majority 0%
PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 21.0% of the vote (2023: 21.7%) Majority 0%
ACORD PER GUANYAR−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 19.0% of the vote (2023: 22.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. VOXVox 17.7% → 27.0% 4 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 27.2% → 24.2% 7 → 6 councillors
  3. PPPP 21.7% → 21.0% 5 → 5 councillors
  4. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 22.8% → 19.0% 5 → 4 councillors
  5. POBLE - DECIDIXLocal lists 3.3% → 3.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 2.0% → 2.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. GC - EUPV - PODEM: UNIDASSumar, Podemos and allies 4.1% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 14,826 valid votes including 193 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Catarroja in size, in Valencia/València

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