España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Catarroja: no list would have a majority, VOX largest

Catarroja (Valencia/València, 28,679 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

VOX+2
6 councillors (2023: 4) · 27.0% of the vote (2023: 17.7%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 24.2% of the vote (2023: 27.2%) Majority 0%
PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 21.0% of the vote (2023: 21.7%) Majority 0%
ACORD PER GUANYAR−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 19.0% of the vote (2023: 22.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Catarroja

Catarroja is a municipality in the province of Valencia/València with 28,679 inhabitants, the 15th largest of its 266 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 27.2% of the vote and 7 seats; ACORD PER GUANYAR was second with 5. 70% of the 21,182 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 6 of 21.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. VOXVox 17.7% → 27.0% 4 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 27.2% → 24.2% 7 → 6 councillors
  3. PPPP 21.7% → 21.0% 5 → 5 councillors
  4. ACORD PER GUANYARSumar, Podemos and allies 22.8% → 19.0% 5 → 4 councillors
  5. POBLE - DECIDIXLocal lists 3.3% → 3.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 2.0% → 2.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. GC - EUPV - PODEM: UNIDASSumar, Podemos and allies 4.1% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 14,826 valid votes including 193 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Catarroja in size, in Valencia/València

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