Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Navahermosa: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Navahermosa (Toledo, 3,586 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 46.4% of the vote (2023: 48.3%) Majority 44%
PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 34.1% of the vote (2023: 38.8%) Majority 1%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 18.3% of the vote (2023: 11.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 54% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Navahermosa

Navahermosa is a municipality in the province of Toledo with 3,586 inhabitants, the 54th largest of its 204 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 48.3% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 4. 76.8% of the 2,837 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 5 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 48.3% → 46.4% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 38.8% → 34.1% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 11.7% → 18.3% 1 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,178 valid votes including 27 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Navahermosa in size, in Toledo

Every municipality in Toledo → · All of Spain →