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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Toledo

El Toboso: PP would keep its majority

El Toboso (Toledo, 1,663 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 53.2% of the vote (2023: 54.0%) Majority 84%
PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 37.2% of the vote (2023: 41.2%) Majority 6%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 10% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About El Toboso

El Toboso is a municipality in the province of Toledo with 1,663 inhabitants, the 100th largest of its 204 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 54% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 4. 86.5% of the 1,330 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 84% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 54.0% → 53.2% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 41.2% → 37.2% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 4.3% → 9.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,151 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near El Toboso in size, in Toledo

Every municipality in Toledo → · All of Spain →