El Toboso: PP would keep its majority
El Toboso (Toledo, 1,663 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 84%PP majority
- 1,151valid votes in 2023 (87% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 10% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About El Toboso
El Toboso is a municipality in the province of Toledo with 1,663 inhabitants, the 100th largest of its 204 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 54% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 4. 86.5% of the 1,330 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 84% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 54.0% → 53.2% 5 → 5 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 41.2% → 37.2% 4 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 4.3% → 9.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,151 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near El Toboso in size, in Toledo
- Quismondo1,673 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Malpica de Tajo1,688 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- San Pablo de los Montes1,696 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- La Torre de Esteban Hambrán1,703 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Alcaudete de la Jara1,614 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Huerta de Valdecarábanos1,726 inhabitants · 9 councillors