La Torre de Esteban Hambrán: PP would keep its majority
La Torre de Esteban Hambrán (Toledo, 1,703 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 95%PP majority
- 1,050valid votes in 2023 (72% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP+1
6
councillors (2023: 5) · 55.7% of the vote (2023: 56.1%)
Majority 95%
PSOE−1
3
councillors (2023: 4) · 37.1% of the vote (2023: 40.8%)
Majority 5%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 56.1% → 55.7% 5 → 6 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 40.8% → 37.1% 4 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 2.0% → 6.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,050 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.