Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Aguaviva: no list would have a majority, G A largest

Aguaviva (Teruel, 556 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

G A−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 43.6% of the vote (2023: 49.7%) Majority 47%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 34.4% of the vote (2023: 34.7%) Majority 4%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 13.3% of the vote (2023: 7.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 49% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Aguaviva

Aguaviva is a municipality in the province of Teruel with 556 inhabitants, the 34th largest of its 235 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 G A came first with 49.7% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 3. 81.7% of the 431 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: G A would be largest on 3 of 7.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. G ASumar, Podemos and allies 49.7% → 43.6% 4 → 3 councillors
  2. PPPP 34.7% → 34.4% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.4% → 13.3% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. PARLocal lists 8.0% → 8.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 352 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Aguaviva in size, in Teruel

Every municipality in Teruel → · All of Spain →