Aguaviva: no list would have a majority, G A largest
Aguaviva (Teruel, 556 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 49%no list with a majority
- 352valid votes in 2023 (82% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 49% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Aguaviva
Aguaviva is a municipality in the province of Teruel with 556 inhabitants, the 34th largest of its 235 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 G A came first with 49.7% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 3. 81.7% of the 431 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: G A would be largest on 3 of 7.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- G ASumar, Podemos and allies 49.7% → 43.6% 4 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 34.7% → 34.4% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 7.4% → 13.3% 0 → 1 councillors
- PARLocal lists 8.0% → 8.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 352 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.