Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Torredembarra: no list would have a majority, ERC - AM largest

Torredembarra (Tarragona, 17,256 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC - AM+1
7 councillors (2023: 6) · 32.7% of the vote (2023: 27.4%) Majority 6%
PSC-CP−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 20.7% of the vote (2023: 25.5%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.5% of the vote (2023: 8.4%) Majority 0%
CM−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 8.0% of the vote (2023: 9.5%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.2% of the vote (2023: 8.8%) Majority 0%
ALTERNATIVA TORREDEMBARRA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.8% of the vote (2023: 6.0%) Majority 0%
CUP-AMUNT±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.6% of the vote (2023: 5.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 94% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Torredembarra

Torredembarra is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 17,256 inhabitants, the 11th largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 ERC - AM came first with 27.4% of the vote and 6 seats; PSC-CP was second with 5. 51.3% of the 12,138 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: ERC - AM would be largest on 7 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC - AMERC 27.4% → 32.7% 6 → 7 councillors
  2. PSC-CPPSOE 25.5% → 20.7% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 8.4% → 13.5% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. CMJunts 9.5% → 8.0% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. PPPP 8.8% → 7.2% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. ALTERNATIVA TORREDEMBARRALocal lists 6.0% → 5.8% 1 → 1 councillors
  7. CUP-AMUNTCUP 5.8% → 5.6% 1 → 1 councillors
  8. VALENTSLocal lists 4.0% → 3.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. TECP - CSumar, Podemos and allies 2.5% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  10. ARA PLLocal lists 0.4% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 6,229 valid votes including 106 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Torredembarra in size, in Tarragona

Every municipality in Tarragona → · All of Spain →