La Riera de Gaià: CM would keep its majority
La Riera de Gaià (Tarragona, 1,752 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 98%CM majority
- 881valid votes in 2023 (69% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About La Riera de Gaià
La Riera de Gaià is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 1,752 inhabitants, the 68th largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CM came first with 64.7% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; SLR - AM was second with 2. 68.9% of the 1,279 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps CM on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 98% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CMJunts 64.7% → 59.7% 7 → 6 councillors
- SLR - AMERC 24.9% → 32.5% 2 → 3 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 8.2% → 5.6% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 881 valid votes including 20 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.