El Montmell: ARA PL would keep its majority
El Montmell (Tarragona, 1,863 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- over 99%ARA PL majority
- 760valid votes in 2023 (53% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
ARA PL±0
6
councillors (2023: 6) · 64.3% of the vote (2023: 63.0%)
Majority over 99%
PSC-CP±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 22.8% of the vote (2023: 26.6%)
Majority 0%
ERC - AM±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 12.1% of the vote (2023: 9.6%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ARA PLLocal lists 63.0% → 64.3% 6 → 6 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 26.6% → 22.8% 2 → 2 councillors
- ERC - AMERC 9.6% → 12.1% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 760 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.