Alforja: EA-ERC-AM would win a majority
Alforja (Tarragona, 1,928 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 84%EA-ERC-AM majority
- 981valid votes in 2023 (64% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
EA-ERC-AM+1
5
councillors (2023: 4) · 53.0% of the vote (2023: 43.5%)
Majority 84%
CM−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 40.4% of the vote (2023: 47.0%)
Majority 16%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- EA-ERC-AMERC 43.5% → 53.0% 4 → 5 councillors
- CMJunts 47.0% → 40.4% 5 → 4 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 8.3% → 5.3% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 981 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.