El Montmell: ARA PL would keep its majority
El Montmell (Tarragona, 1,863 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- over 99%ARA PL majority
- 760valid votes in 2023 (53% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About El Montmell
El Montmell is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 1,863 inhabitants, the 66th largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 ARA PL came first with 63% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSC-CP was second with 2. 53.3% of the 1,425 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps ARA PL on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- ARA PLLocal lists 63.0% → 64.3% 6 → 6 councillors
- PSC-CPPSOE 26.6% → 22.8% 2 → 2 councillors
- ERC - AMERC 9.6% → 12.1% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 760 valid votes including 6 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.