Ascó: XTU would win a majority
Ascó (Tarragona, 1,601 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 52%XTU majority
- 945valid votes in 2023 (75% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
XTU+1
5
councillors (2023: 4) · 45.4% of the vote (2023: 45.5%)
Majority 52%
IPA - AM±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 26.4% of the vote (2023: 21.4%)
Majority 0%
CP−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 23.4% of the vote (2023: 27.7%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 48% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- XTULocal lists 45.5% → 45.4% 4 → 5 councillors
- IPA - AMERC 21.4% → 26.4% 2 → 2 councillors
- CPPSOE 27.7% → 23.4% 3 → 2 councillors
- CMJunts 4.0% → 3.5% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 945 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.