Sarral: no list would have a majority, UPS-FIC largest
Sarral (Tarragona, 1,578 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 85%no list with a majority
- 779valid votes in 2023 (70% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
UPS-FIC±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 41.4% of the vote (2023: 42.2%)
Majority 15%
FP - AM+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 29.9% of the vote (2023: 24.6%)
Majority 0%
CM−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 26.4% of the vote (2023: 30.8%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 85% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- UPS-FICLocal lists 42.2% → 41.4% 4 → 4 councillors
- FP - AMERC 24.6% → 29.9% 2 → 3 councillors
- CMJunts 30.8% → 26.4% 3 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 779 valid votes including 18 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.