Ascó: XTU would win a majority
Ascó (Tarragona, 1,601 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 52%XTU majority
- 945valid votes in 2023 (75% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 48% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Ascó
Ascó is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 1,601 inhabitants, the 70th largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 XTU came first with 45.5% of the vote and 4 seats; CP was second with 3. 75.4% of the 1,253 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps XTU on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 52% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- XTULocal lists 45.5% → 45.4% 4 → 5 councillors
- IPA - AMERC 21.4% → 26.4% 2 → 2 councillors
- CPPSOE 27.7% → 23.4% 3 → 2 councillors
- CMJunts 4.0% → 3.5% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 945 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.