Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Gandesa: APG-ERC-AM would win a majority

Gandesa (Tarragona, 3,100 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

APG-ERC-AM+2
6 councillors (2023: 4) · 44.9% of the vote (2023: 35.8%) Majority 54%
CM±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 39.8% of the vote (2023: 44.9%) Majority 22%
PP−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.9% of the vote (2023: 8.0%) Majority 0%
SXG - CP−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.1% of the vote (2023: 8.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 24% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Gandesa

Gandesa is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 3,100 inhabitants, the 49th largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CM came first with 44.9% of the vote and 5 seats; APG-ERC-AM was second with 4. 72.9% of the 2,166 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps APG-ERC-AM on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 54% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. APG-ERC-AMERC 35.8% → 44.9% 4 → 6 councillors
  2. CMJunts 44.9% → 39.8% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. PPPP 8.0% → 6.9% 1 → 0 councillors
  4. SXG - CPPSOE 8.9% → 6.1% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,578 valid votes including 36 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Gandesa in size, in Tarragona

Every municipality in Tarragona → · All of Spain →