Gandesa: APG-ERC-AM would win a majority
Gandesa (Tarragona, 3,100 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 54%APG-ERC-AM majority
- 1,578valid votes in 2023 (73% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 24% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Gandesa
Gandesa is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 3,100 inhabitants, the 49th largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CM came first with 44.9% of the vote and 5 seats; APG-ERC-AM was second with 4. 72.9% of the 2,166 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps APG-ERC-AM on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 54% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- APG-ERC-AMERC 35.8% → 44.9% 4 → 6 councillors
- CMJunts 44.9% → 39.8% 5 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 8.0% → 6.9% 1 → 0 councillors
- SXG - CPPSOE 8.9% → 6.1% 1 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,578 valid votes including 36 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Gandesa in size, in Tarragona
- La Pobla de Montornès3,101 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Montbrió del Camp3,073 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Móra la Nova3,198 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Castellvell del Camp2,946 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Banyeres del Penedès3,271 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Camarles3,309 inhabitants · 11 councillors