Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Montbrió del Camp: AM - AM would keep its majority

Montbrió del Camp (Tarragona, 3,073 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

AM - AM+1
7 councillors (2023: 6) · 58.7% of the vote (2023: 50.8%) Majority 99%
XTU−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 23.2% of the vote (2023: 24.8%) Majority 0%
CM±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.1% of the vote (2023: 19.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. AM - AMERC 50.8% → 58.7% 6 → 7 councillors
  2. XTULocal lists 24.8% → 23.2% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. CMJunts 19.7% → 16.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. PSC-CPPSOE 2.9% → 0.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,273 valid votes including 22 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Montbrió del Camp in size, in Tarragona

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