Calafell: no list would have a majority, PSC-CP largest
Calafell (Tarragona, 29,102 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- 94%no list with a majority
- 9,686valid votes in 2023 (47% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 94% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Calafell
Calafell is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 29,102 inhabitants, the 6th largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSC-CP came first with 35.3% of the vote and 10 seats; ERC - AM was second with 3. 47.2% of the 20,528 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSC-CP would be largest on 8 of 21.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSC-CPPSOE 35.3% → 30.7% 10 → 8 councillors
- ERC - AMERC 11.0% → 13.8% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 7.9% → 13.5% 2 → 3 councillors
- UAMLocal lists 10.4% → 10.5% 2 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 8.3% → 7.1% 2 → 2 councillors
- CUP-AMUNTCUP 6.8% → 6.9% 1 → 2 councillors
- APLLocal lists 4.8% → 4.8% 0 → 0 councillors
- CMJunts 5.1% → 4.5% 1 → 0 councillors
- VALENTSLocal lists 3.0% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- ECPC - CSumar, Podemos and allies 4.4% → 2.1% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 1.8% → 1.8% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 9,686 valid votes including 126 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.