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Utrera: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Utrera (Sevilla, 51,402 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
12 councillors (2023: 13) · 44.0% of the vote (2023: 44.1%) Majority 38%
PSOE-A−1
10 councillors (2023: 11) · 34.5% of the vote (2023: 37.8%) Majority 4%
VOX+2
2 councillors (2023: 0) · 9.5% of the vote (2023: 4.5%) Majority 0%
UTRERA +±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.7% of the vote (2023: 6.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 58% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Utrera

Utrera is a municipality in the province of Sevilla with 51,402 inhabitants, the 4th largest of its 106 municipalities. Its council has 25 seats, and 13 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 44.1% of the vote and 13 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 11. 58.4% of the 41,152 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 12 of 25.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 44.1% → 44.0% 13 → 12 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 37.8% → 34.5% 11 → 10 councillors
  3. VOXVox 4.5% → 9.5% 0 → 2 councillors
  4. UTRERA +Local lists 6.3% → 6.7% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. FCUILocal lists 2.3% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 3.5% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 24,049 valid votes including 379 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Utrera in size, in Sevilla

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