Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Los Palacios y Villafranca: no list would have a majority, CON ANDALUCÍA largest

Los Palacios y Villafranca (Sevilla, 38,662 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CON ANDALUCÍA−1
10 councillors (2023: 11) · 45.1% of the vote (2023: 49.2%) Majority 34%
PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 30.4% of the vote (2023: 29.5%) Majority 0%
PSOE-A−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 12.3% of the vote (2023: 14.5%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
2 councillors (2023: 0) · 9.7% of the vote (2023: 4.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 66% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 49.2% → 45.1% 11 → 10 councillors
  2. PPPP 29.5% → 30.4% 7 → 7 councillors
  3. PSOE-APSOE 14.5% → 12.3% 3 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 4.4% → 9.7% 0 → 2 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 0.9% → 1.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 19,033 valid votes including 269 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Los Palacios y Villafranca in size, in Sevilla

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