España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Coria del Río: UA would keep its majority

Coria del Río (Sevilla, 30,714 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

UA±0
12 councillors (2023: 12) · 49.7% of the vote (2023: 48.2%) Majority 86%
PSOE-A−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 19.2% of the vote (2023: 22.6%) Majority 0%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 11.9% of the vote (2023: 12.9%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.9% of the vote (2023: 5.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 14% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. UALocal lists 48.2% → 49.7% 12 → 12 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 22.6% → 19.2% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. PPPP 12.9% → 11.9% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. VOXVox 5.8% → 10.9% 1 → 2 councillors
  5. PVCOLocal lists 4.3% → 4.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 5.0% → 2.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 12,390 valid votes including 148 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Coria del Río in size, in Sevilla

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