Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Alcalá de Guadaíra: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest

Alcalá de Guadaíra (Sevilla, 75,917 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A−1
10 councillors (2023: 11) · 32.2% of the vote (2023: 36.6%) Majority 1%
VOX+2
6 councillors (2023: 4) · 21.8% of the vote (2023: 14.3%) Majority 0%
PP−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 19.3% of the vote (2023: 20.6%) Majority 0%
ALCALA NOS IMPORTA±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 8.7% of the vote (2023: 8.6%) Majority 0%
UA±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 6.7% of the vote (2023: 6.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 36.6% → 32.2% 11 → 10 councillors
  2. VOXVox 14.3% → 21.8% 4 → 6 councillors
  3. PPPP 20.6% → 19.3% 6 → 5 councillors
  4. ALCALA NOS IMPORTALocal lists 8.6% → 8.7% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. UALocal lists 6.6% → 6.7% 2 → 2 councillors
  6. ADELANTE ANDALUCÍALocal lists 4.8% → 4.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. CSCiudadanos 3.4% → 3.4% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 3.2% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 31,341 valid votes including 582 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Alcalá de Guadaíra in size, in Sevilla

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