Alcalá de Guadaíra: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest
Alcalá de Guadaíra (Sevilla, 75,917 inhabitants) elects 25 councillors on 23 May 2027; 13 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 25councillors, 13 for a majority
- 99%no list with a majority
- 31,341valid votes in 2023 (53% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE-A−1
10
councillors (2023: 11) · 32.2% of the vote (2023: 36.6%)
Majority 1%
VOX+2
6
councillors (2023: 4) · 21.8% of the vote (2023: 14.3%)
Majority 0%
PP−1
5
councillors (2023: 6) · 19.3% of the vote (2023: 20.6%)
Majority 0%
ALCALA NOS IMPORTA±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 8.7% of the vote (2023: 8.6%)
Majority 0%
UA±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 6.7% of the vote (2023: 6.6%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (13 of 25). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 36.6% → 32.2% 11 → 10 councillors
- VOXVox 14.3% → 21.8% 4 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 20.6% → 19.3% 6 → 5 councillors
- ALCALA NOS IMPORTALocal lists 8.6% → 8.7% 2 → 2 councillors
- UALocal lists 6.6% → 6.7% 2 → 2 councillors
- ADELANTE ANDALUCÍALocal lists 4.8% → 4.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 3.4% → 3.4% 0 → 0 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 3.2% → 1.1% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 31,341 valid votes including 582 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.