Paradas: CON ANDALUCIA would keep its majority
Paradas (Sevilla, 6,832 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 68%CON ANDALUCIA majority
- 3,456valid votes in 2023 (62% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 30% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Paradas
Paradas is a municipality in the province of Sevilla with 6,832 inhabitants, the 52nd largest of its 106 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CON ANDALUCIA came first with 52.7% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 5. 62% of the 5,578 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps CON ANDALUCIA on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 68% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CON ANDALUCIASumar, Podemos and allies 52.7% → 51.7% 7 → 7 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 34.7% → 35.2% 5 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 11.6% → 12.0% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,456 valid votes including 37 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.