Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Almensilla: no list would have a majority, POR ALMENSILLA largest

Almensilla (Sevilla, 6,415 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

POR ALMENSILLA±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 27.2% of the vote (2023: 26.0%) Majority 0%
PSOE-A±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 25.4% of the vote (2023: 28.6%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 15.2% of the vote (2023: 16.0%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 10.7% of the vote (2023: 5.5%) Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 8.9% of the vote (2023: 11.7%) Majority 0%
CMOS±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.8% of the vote (2023: 6.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. POR ALMENSILLALocal lists 26.0% → 27.2% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 28.6% → 25.4% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. PPPP 16.0% → 15.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. VOXVox 5.5% → 10.7% 0 → 1 councillors
  5. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 11.7% → 8.9% 2 → 1 councillors
  6. CMOSLocal lists 6.5% → 6.8% 1 → 1 councillors
  7. PIAVLocal lists 4.1% → 4.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,153 valid votes including 50 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Almensilla in size, in Sevilla

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