Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Herrera: PP would keep its majority

Herrera (Sevilla, 6,503 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
8 councillors (2023: 7) · 56.7% of the vote (2023: 54.3%) Majority 93%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 25.3% of the vote (2023: 27.3%) Majority 0%
UA±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.6% of the vote (2023: 15.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 7% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 54.3% → 56.7% 7 → 8 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 27.3% → 25.3% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. UALocal lists 15.1% → 16.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. ADELANTE ANDALUCÍALocal lists 0.3% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  5. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 2.2% → 0.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,102 valid votes including 33 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Herrera in size, in Sevilla

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