Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Paradas: CON ANDALUCIA would keep its majority

Paradas (Sevilla, 6,832 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CON ANDALUCIA±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 51.7% of the vote (2023: 52.7%) Majority 68%
PSOE-A±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 35.2% of the vote (2023: 34.7%) Majority 2%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.0% of the vote (2023: 11.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 30% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CON ANDALUCIASumar, Podemos and allies 52.7% → 51.7% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 34.7% → 35.2% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. PPPP 11.6% → 12.0% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,456 valid votes including 37 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Paradas in size, in Sevilla

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