Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Montellano: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest

Montellano (Sevilla, 6,976 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 34.3% of the vote (2023: 37.0%) Majority 1%
UA±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 23.9% of the vote (2023: 22.3%) Majority 0%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 20.4% of the vote (2023: 20.7%) Majority 0%
VEPM±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.1% of the vote (2023: 18.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Montellano

Montellano is a municipality in the province of Sevilla with 6,976 inhabitants, the 50th largest of its 106 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 37% of the vote and 5 seats; UA was second with 3. 62.5% of the 5,641 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE-A would be largest on 5 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 37.0% → 34.3% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. UALocal lists 22.3% → 23.9% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 20.7% → 20.4% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. VEPMLocal lists 18.7% → 20.1% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,528 valid votes including 46 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Montellano in size, in Sevilla

Every municipality in Sevilla → · All of Spain →