España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Montellano: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest

Montellano (Sevilla, 6,976 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 34.3% of the vote (2023: 37.0%) Majority 1%
UA±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 23.9% of the vote (2023: 22.3%) Majority 0%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 20.4% of the vote (2023: 20.7%) Majority 0%
VEPM±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 20.1% of the vote (2023: 18.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 37.0% → 34.3% 5 → 5 councillors
  2. UALocal lists 22.3% → 23.9% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 20.7% → 20.4% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. VEPMLocal lists 18.7% → 20.1% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,528 valid votes including 46 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Montellano in size, in Sevilla

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