Gerena: PSOE-A would keep its majority
Gerena (Sevilla, 7,774 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 73%PSOE-A majority
- 3,804valid votes in 2023 (62% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 27% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Gerena
Gerena is a municipality in the province of Sevilla with 7,774 inhabitants, the 46th largest of its 106 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 50.2% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; CON ANDALUCÍA was second with 4. 62.2% of the 6,114 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE-A on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 73% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 50.2% → 48.1% 8 → 7 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 27.6% → 24.1% 4 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 6.0% → 11.9% 0 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 11.1% → 10.6% 1 → 1 councillors
- GERENA PARTICIPALocal lists 3.5% → 3.8% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,804 valid votes including 58 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Gerena in size, in Sevilla
- Villaverde del Río7,711 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Valencina de la Concepción7,988 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Benacazón7,299 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Fuentes de Andalucía7,173 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Santiponce8,507 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- El Cuervo de Sevilla8,623 inhabitants · 13 councillors