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Gerena: PSOE-A would keep its majority

Gerena (Sevilla, 7,774 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A−1
7 councillors (2023: 8) · 48.1% of the vote (2023: 50.2%) Majority 73%
CON ANDALUCÍA±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 24.1% of the vote (2023: 27.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 11.9% of the vote (2023: 6.0%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.6% of the vote (2023: 11.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 27% of 300 simulated elections.

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About Gerena

Gerena is a municipality in the province of Sevilla with 7,774 inhabitants, the 46th largest of its 106 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 50.2% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; CON ANDALUCÍA was second with 4. 62.2% of the 6,114 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE-A on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 73% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 50.2% → 48.1% 8 → 7 councillors
  2. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 27.6% → 24.1% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. VOXVox 6.0% → 11.9% 0 → 1 councillors
  4. PPPP 11.1% → 10.6% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. GERENA PARTICIPALocal lists 3.5% → 3.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,804 valid votes including 58 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Gerena in size, in Sevilla

Every municipality in Sevilla → · All of Spain →