Valencina de la Concepción: PP would keep its majority
Valencina de la Concepción (Sevilla, 7,988 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 64%PP majority
- 4,264valid votes in 2023 (65% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 35% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Valencina de la Concepción
Valencina de la Concepción is a municipality in the province of Sevilla with 7,988 inhabitants, the 45th largest of its 106 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 46.7% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 5. 65.5% of the 6,511 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 64% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 46.7% → 46.7% 7 → 7 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 33.2% → 30.1% 5 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 5.0% → 10.2% 0 → 1 councillors
- AGRUPACION DE VECINOS POR VALENCINALocal lists 6.5% → 6.9% 1 → 1 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 6.5% → 4.1% 0 → 0 councillors
- DESPIERTALocal lists 0.7% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,264 valid votes including 58 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.