Gerena: PSOE-A would keep its majority
Gerena (Sevilla, 7,774 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 73%PSOE-A majority
- 3,804valid votes in 2023 (62% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE-A−1
7
councillors (2023: 8) · 48.1% of the vote (2023: 50.2%)
Majority 73%
CON ANDALUCÍA±0
4
councillors (2023: 4) · 24.1% of the vote (2023: 27.6%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 11.9% of the vote (2023: 6.0%)
Majority 0%
PP±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 10.6% of the vote (2023: 11.1%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 27% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 50.2% → 48.1% 8 → 7 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 27.6% → 24.1% 4 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 6.0% → 11.9% 0 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 11.1% → 10.6% 1 → 1 councillors
- GERENA PARTICIPALocal lists 3.5% → 3.8% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,804 valid votes including 58 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Gerena in size, in Sevilla
- Villaverde del Río7,711 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Valencina de la Concepción7,988 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Benacazón7,299 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Fuentes de Andalucía7,173 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Santiponce8,507 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- El Cuervo de Sevilla8,623 inhabitants · 13 councillors