Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Algámitas: UXA would win a majority

Algámitas (Sevilla, 1,252 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

UXA+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 50.3% of the vote (2023: 46.9%) Majority 67%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 39.3% of the vote (2023: 42.0%) Majority 9%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.1% of the vote (2023: 10.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 24% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Algámitas

Algámitas is a municipality in the province of Sevilla with 1,252 inhabitants, the 99th largest of its 106 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 UXA came first with 46.9% of the vote and 4 seats; PSOE was second with 4. 87.9% of the 1,022 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps UXA on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 67% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. UXALocal lists 46.9% → 50.3% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 42.0% → 39.3% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 10.8% → 10.1% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 898 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Algámitas in size, in Sevilla

Every municipality in Sevilla → · All of Spain →