España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Algámitas: UXA would win a majority

Algámitas (Sevilla, 1,252 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

UXA+1
5 councillors (2023: 4) · 50.3% of the vote (2023: 46.9%) Majority 67%
PSOE−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 39.3% of the vote (2023: 42.0%) Majority 9%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.1% of the vote (2023: 10.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 24% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. UXALocal lists 46.9% → 50.3% 4 → 5 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 42.0% → 39.3% 4 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 10.8% → 10.1% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 898 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Algámitas in size, in Sevilla

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