Cuéllar: PP would win a majority
Cuéllar (Segovia, 9,588 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 52%no list with a majority
- 4,625valid votes in 2023 (68% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 52% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Cuéllar
Cuéllar is a municipality in the province of Segovia with 9,588 inhabitants, the 3rd largest of its 208 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 42.5% of the vote and 6 seats; PSOE was second with 5. 67.7% of the 6,831 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 47% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 42.5% → 42.9% 6 → 7 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 33.1% → 30.3% 5 → 4 councillors
- I.U.Sumar, Podemos and allies 13.8% → 11.0% 2 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 3.8% → 8.7% 0 → 1 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 2.9% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors
- CENTRADOSLocal lists 2.8% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,625 valid votes including 54 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Cuéllar in size, in Segovia
- El Espinar9,662 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Palazuelos de Eresma5,743 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Real Sitio de San Ildefonso5,188 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- La Lastrilla4,348 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Cantalejo3,461 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- San Cristóbal de Segovia3,110 inhabitants · 11 councillors