Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cuéllar: PP would win a majority

Cuéllar (Segovia, 9,588 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP+1
7 councillors (2023: 6) · 42.9% of the vote (2023: 42.5%) Majority 47%
PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 30.3% of the vote (2023: 33.1%) Majority 1%
I.U.−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 11.0% of the vote (2023: 13.8%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 8.7% of the vote (2023: 3.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 52% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Cuéllar

Cuéllar is a municipality in the province of Segovia with 9,588 inhabitants, the 3rd largest of its 208 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 42.5% of the vote and 6 seats; PSOE was second with 5. 67.7% of the 6,831 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 47% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 42.5% → 42.9% 6 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 33.1% → 30.3% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. I.U.Sumar, Podemos and allies 13.8% → 11.0% 2 → 1 councillors
  4. VOXVox 3.8% → 8.7% 0 → 1 councillors
  5. CSCiudadanos 2.9% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. CENTRADOSLocal lists 2.8% → 3.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,625 valid votes including 54 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cuéllar in size, in Segovia

Every municipality in Segovia → · All of Spain →