El Espinar: no list would have a majority, PP largest
El Espinar (Segovia, 9,662 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 55%PP majority
- 4,613valid votes in 2023 (65% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP−1
6
councillors (2023: 7) · 43.5% of the vote (2023: 44.1%)
Majority 55%
PSOE±0
3
councillors (2023: 3) · 20.0% of the vote (2023: 23.1%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 13.0% of the vote (2023: 7.3%)
Majority 0%
AHORA SI±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 6.9% of the vote (2023: 6.6%)
Majority 0%
I.U.±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 6.6% of the vote (2023: 9.3%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 45% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 44.1% → 43.5% 7 → 6 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 23.1% → 20.0% 3 → 3 councillors
- VOXVox 7.3% → 13.0% 1 → 2 councillors
- AHORA SILocal lists 6.6% → 6.9% 1 → 1 councillors
- I.U.Sumar, Podemos and allies 9.3% → 6.6% 1 → 1 councillors
- VNELocal lists 5.9% → 6.2% 0 → 0 councillors
- EL ESPINAR AVANZALocal lists 1.8% → 1.9% 0 → 0 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 0.6% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,613 valid votes including 59 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near El Espinar in size, in Segovia
- Cuéllar9,588 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Palazuelos de Eresma5,743 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Real Sitio de San Ildefonso5,188 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- La Lastrilla4,348 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Cantalejo3,461 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- San Cristóbal de Segovia3,110 inhabitants · 11 councillors