España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Real Sitio de San Ildefonso: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Real Sitio de San Ildefonso (Segovia, 5,188 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 38.0% of the vote (2023: 41.7%) Majority 8%
PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 34.3% of the vote (2023: 34.9%) Majority 1%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 18.5% of the vote (2023: 11.4%) Majority 0%
I.U.±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.0% of the vote (2023: 10.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 91% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 41.7% → 38.0% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 34.9% → 34.3% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 11.4% → 18.5% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. I.U.Sumar, Podemos and allies 10.8% → 8.0% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,840 valid votes including 34 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Real Sitio de San Ildefonso in size, in Segovia

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