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Real Sitio de San Ildefonso: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Real Sitio de San Ildefonso (Segovia, 5,188 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 38.0% of the vote (2023: 41.7%) Majority 8%
PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 34.3% of the vote (2023: 34.9%) Majority 1%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 18.5% of the vote (2023: 11.4%) Majority 0%
I.U.±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 8.0% of the vote (2023: 10.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 91% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Real Sitio de San Ildefonso

Real Sitio de San Ildefonso is a municipality in the province of Segovia with 5,188 inhabitants, the 5th largest of its 208 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 41.7% of the vote and 6 seats; PP was second with 5. 68% of the 4,179 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 5 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 41.7% → 38.0% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 34.9% → 34.3% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 11.4% → 18.5% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. I.U.Sumar, Podemos and allies 10.8% → 8.0% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,840 valid votes including 34 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Real Sitio de San Ildefonso in size, in Segovia

Every municipality in Segovia → · All of Spain →