Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Tazacorte: NC-FAC would win a majority

Tazacorte (Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 4,502 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

NC-FAC+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 46.9% of the vote (2023: 43.4%) Majority 74%
PSOE−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 21.3% of the vote (2023: 23.7%) Majority 0%
CCA±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 15.2% of the vote (2023: 17.8%) Majority 0%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.8% of the vote (2023: 10.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 26% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. NC-FACLocal lists 43.4% → 46.9% 5 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 23.7% → 21.3% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. CCACoalición Canaria 17.8% → 15.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. PPPP 10.4% → 9.8% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. VOXVox 1.3% → 5.3% 0 → 0 councillors
  6. USPSumar, Podemos and allies 2.7% → 0.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,634 valid votes including 19 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Tazacorte in size, in Santa Cruz de Tenerife

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