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San Juan de la Rambla: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

San Juan de la Rambla (Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 4,864 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 29.4% of the vote (2023: 31.7%) Majority under 1%
AUPSJR-SSP+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 24.5% of the vote (2023: 22.6%) Majority 0%
CCA±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 22.0% of the vote (2023: 25.8%) Majority 0%
NC-FAC±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.1% of the vote (2023: 8.4%) Majority 0%
PP−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.2% of the vote (2023: 7.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 31.7% → 29.4% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. AUPSJR-SSPLocal lists 22.6% → 24.5% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. CCACoalición Canaria 25.8% → 22.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  4. NC-FACLocal lists 8.4% → 9.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. PPPP 7.9% → 7.2% 1 → 0 councillors
  6. VOXVox 1.8% → 6.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,916 valid votes including 50 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near San Juan de la Rambla in size, in Santa Cruz de Tenerife

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