Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

San Andrés y Sauces: PSOE would keep its majority

San Andrés y Sauces (Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 4,170 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 56.4% of the vote (2023: 56.4%) Majority 94%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 30.4% of the vote (2023: 28.9%) Majority 0%
CCA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.1% of the vote (2023: 13.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 6% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 56.4% → 56.4% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PPPP 28.9% → 30.4% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. CCACoalición Canaria 13.7% → 12.1% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,590 valid votes including 26 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near San Andrés y Sauces in size, in Santa Cruz de Tenerife

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