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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Santa Cruz de Tenerife

Santa Cruz de la Palma: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Santa Cruz de la Palma (Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 15,361 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 34.7% of the vote (2023: 33.5%) Majority 5%
PSOE±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 26.3% of the vote (2023: 28.2%) Majority under 1%
CCA−1
3 councillors (2023: 4) · 19.1% of the vote (2023: 22.0%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 6.1% of the vote (2023: 1.8%) Majority 0%
NC-FAC±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.8% of the vote (2023: 5.3%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in 95% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Santa Cruz de la Palma

Santa Cruz de la Palma is a municipality in the province of Santa Cruz de Tenerife with 15,361 inhabitants, the 17th largest of its 54 municipalities. Its council has 17 seats, and 9 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 33.5% of the vote and 7 seats; PSOE was second with 5. 60.8% of the 12,646 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 7 of 17.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 33.5% → 34.7% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 28.2% → 26.3% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. CCACoalición Canaria 22.0% → 19.1% 4 → 3 councillors
  4. VOXVox 1.8% → 6.1% 0 → 1 councillors
  5. NC-FACLocal lists 5.3% → 5.8% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. DVCLocal lists 2.3% → 2.5% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. MAELocal lists 2.0% → 2.2% 0 → 0 councillors
  8. CSCiudadanos 1.9% → 2.1% 0 → 0 councillors
  9. USPSumar, Podemos and allies 2.0% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,686 valid votes including 88 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Santa Cruz de la Palma in size, in Santa Cruz de Tenerife

Every municipality in Santa Cruz de Tenerife → · All of Spain →