La Guancha: PP would win a majority
La Guancha (Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 5,561 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 75%PP majority
- 3,153valid votes in 2023 (70% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP+1
7
councillors (2023: 6) · 49.2% of the vote (2023: 46.4%)
Majority 75%
CCA−1
5
councillors (2023: 6) · 35.9% of the vote (2023: 40.8%)
Majority 3%
PSOE±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 8.1% of the vote (2023: 10.3%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 22% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 46.4% → 49.2% 6 → 7 councillors
- CCACoalición Canaria 40.8% → 35.9% 6 → 5 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 10.3% → 8.1% 1 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 1.4% → 5.7% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,153 valid votes including 34 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near La Guancha in size, in Santa Cruz de Tenerife
- Arafo5,623 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Breña Baja5,885 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Valverde5,123 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Garachico4,920 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Villa de Mazo4,905 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- San Juan de la Rambla4,864 inhabitants · 11 councillors
Every municipality in Santa Cruz de Tenerife → · All of Spain →