Arafo: CCA would keep its majority
Arafo (Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 5,623 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- over 99%CCA majority
- 3,100valid votes in 2023 (66% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
CCA−1
9
councillors (2023: 10) · 63.0% of the vote (2023: 67.9%)
Majority over 99%
PP+1
2
councillors (2023: 1) · 13.4% of the vote (2023: 12.8%)
Majority 0%
PSOE−1
1
councillors (2023: 2) · 13.4% of the vote (2023: 14.7%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 8.7% of the vote (2023: 3.2%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CCACoalición Canaria 67.9% → 63.0% 10 → 9 councillors
- PPPP 12.8% → 13.4% 1 → 2 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 14.7% → 13.4% 2 → 1 councillors
- VOXVox 3.2% → 8.7% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,100 valid votes including 44 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near Arafo in size, in Santa Cruz de Tenerife
- La Guancha5,561 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Breña Baja5,885 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Valverde5,123 inhabitants · 13 councillors
- Garachico4,920 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Villa de Mazo4,905 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- San Juan de la Rambla4,864 inhabitants · 11 councillors
Every municipality in Santa Cruz de Tenerife → · All of Spain →