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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Santa Cruz de Tenerife

Arafo: CCA would keep its majority

Arafo (Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 5,623 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CCA−1
9 councillors (2023: 10) · 63.0% of the vote (2023: 67.9%) Majority over 99%
PP+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 13.4% of the vote (2023: 12.8%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 13.4% of the vote (2023: 14.7%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 8.7% of the vote (2023: 3.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About Arafo

Arafo is a municipality in the province of Santa Cruz de Tenerife with 5,623 inhabitants, the 29th largest of its 54 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CCA came first with 67.9% of the vote and 10 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 2. 66.1% of the 4,693 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps CCA on 9 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CCACoalición Canaria 67.9% → 63.0% 10 → 9 councillors
  2. PPPP 12.8% → 13.4% 1 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 14.7% → 13.4% 2 → 1 councillors
  4. VOXVox 3.2% → 8.7% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,100 valid votes including 44 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Arafo in size, in Santa Cruz de Tenerife

Every municipality in Santa Cruz de Tenerife → · All of Spain →