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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Santa Cruz de Tenerife

Candelaria: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Candelaria (Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 28,485 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
10 councillors (2023: 11) · 42.2% of the vote (2023: 44.6%) Majority 32%
PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 26.9% of the vote (2023: 26.8%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
3 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.9% of the vote (2023: 6.8%) Majority 0%
CCA±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 9.6% of the vote (2023: 11.3%) Majority 0%
USP−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 4.3% of the vote (2023: 6.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 68% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Candelaria

Candelaria is a municipality in the province of Santa Cruz de Tenerife with 28,485 inhabitants, the 9th largest of its 54 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 44.6% of the vote and 11 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 6. 56.7% of the 22,699 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 10 of 21.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 44.6% → 42.2% 11 → 10 councillors
  2. PPPP 26.8% → 26.9% 6 → 6 councillors
  3. VOXVox 6.8% → 12.9% 1 → 3 councillors
  4. CCACoalición Canaria 11.3% → 9.6% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. USPSumar, Podemos and allies 6.6% → 4.3% 1 → 0 councillors
  6. NC-FACLocal lists 2.0% → 2.2% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 12,879 valid votes including 237 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Candelaria in size, in Santa Cruz de Tenerife

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